I am not a certified analyst. The charts shown and the content in the blog are for educational purpose only and in no way is a buy or sell recommendation. Readers are advised to use discretion.

Monday, 23 September 2013

Nifty Strategy for 24 Sept 2013

Although, Nifty seems to have topped out, but Tops can't be sharp Reversals every time.. so we got out of our Shorts today near @ 5905 as there are some indications that it can again revisit 6050 ~ 6100 levels..

Let's have a Look at the Daily Chart:-

















1) A Breakout has clearly failed, even though the strength of the rally was good. So BEARISH.
2) Nifty has made another Gap, most probably Exhaustion gap. So BEARISH.
3) Bollinger Band still in Uptrend. So BULLISH.
4) RSI has not broken its trendline. So BULLISH.
5) Stochastic giving early signs of short term Down trend.

So Overall, We will:-
1) SHORT, if Market revisits 6050 ~ 6100 levels with a Bearish sign or
2) SHORT, if market breaks 5870 (Today's low). 
Same TGT = 5600
3) Bought near 5900 today with SL = 5870, TGT 6000 - 6050

Tuesday, 10 September 2013

Nifty Future at 5850 right Now !! Book Profit

Nifty Future at 5850 right Now !! Booking Full Longs here ..

& will Short with opportunity for a TGT of 5600.

Happy trading..

Saturday, 31 August 2013

Nifty Weekly Overview starting from 31st Aug 2013


1) The Reversal in any trend always Trap the Novice Traders !!  Two Hammers in Weekly Chart , so can expect a Bounce, if crossed NS 5500.

2) Daily Chart is Still in Downward Channel, so Downtrend Intact.
3) Daily RSI giving a Bullish Divergence signal, where we bought. 


4) Now any break above 5500 is a Positional BUY confirmation with SL of 5412 on Closing Basis.
5) We would love to Go SHORT on Monday/ Tuesday if No Breakout happens,  TGT  5100.

Happy trading !!

Monday, 29 July 2013

Nifty Positional

Holding Positional shorts.. will book tomorrow partially near 5800 as it seems good Support Zone..

Charts looks completely Bearish, so I believe its time to book profits.

Sunday, 7 July 2013

38 Steps to Become a TRADER

I have came across a beautiful post .. putting it for all..
______________

38 steps to become a TRADER

They are as follows:

1. We accumulate information - buying books, going to seminars and researching.
2. We begin to trade with our 'new' knowledge.
3. We consistently 'donate' and then realise we may need more knowledge or information.
4. We accumulate more information.
5. We switch the commodities we are currently following.
6. We go back into the market and trade with our 'updated' knowledge.
7. We get 'beat up' again and begin to lose some of our confidence. Fear starts setting in.
8. We start to listen to 'outside news' and to other traders.
9. We go back into the market and continue to 'donate'.
10. We switch commodities again.
11. We search for more information.
12. We go back into the market and start to see a little progress.
13. We get 'over-confident' and the market humbles us.
14. We start to understand that trading successfully is going to take more time and more knowledge than we anticipated.

MOST PEOPLE WILL GIVE UP AT THIS POINT, AS THEY REALISE WORK IS INVOLVED.

15. We get serious and start concentrating on learning a 'real' methodology.
16. We trade our methodology with some success, but realise that something is missing.
17. We begin to understand the need for having rules to apply our methodology.
18. We take a sabbatical from trading to develop and research our trading rules.
19. We start trading again, this time with rules and find some success, but over all we still hesitate when we execute.
20. We add, subtract and modify rules as we see a need to be more proficient with our rules.
21. We feel we are very close to crossing that threshold of successful trading.
22. We start to take responsibility for our trading results as we understand that our success is in us, not the methodology.
23. We continue to trade and become more proficient with our methodology and our rules.
24. As we trade we still have a tendency to violate our rules and our results are still erratic.
25. We know we are close.
26. We go back and research our rules.
27. We build the confidence in our rules and go back into the market and trade.
28. Our trading results are getting better, but we are still hesitating in executing our rules.
29. We now see the importance of following our rules as we see the results of our trades when we don't follow the rules.
30. We begin to see that our lack of success is within us (a lack of discipline in following the rules because of some kind of fear) and we begin to work on knowing ourselves better.
31. We continue to trade and the market teaches us more and more about ourselves.
32. We master our methodology and our trading rules.
33. We begin to consistently make money.
34. We get a little over-confident and the market humbles us.
35. We continue to learn our lessons.
36. We stop thinking and allow our rules to trade for us (trading becomes boring, but successful) and our trading account
continues to grow as we increase our contract size.
37. We are making more money than we ever dreamed possible.
38. We go on with our lives and accomplish many of the goals we had always dreamed of.

Most traders will identify with this list and should be able to place themselves within these steps. Keep in mind that very few people progress through these steps in an orderly fashion. Developing your trading skills is an iterative process. For example, you may reach Step 13., find that although you were making money, your basic premise for trading was flawed (you might have been benefiting from the bull market, rather than your own trading prowess and then have been rudely awakened when the market entered a bear phase) and you may drop back to Step 4. and start 'climbing' the steps again. Having the proper mindset, attitude and psychological makeup becomes increasingly important as you progress through the steps. The focus
of the earlier steps is on external issues, i.e. developing proficiency in the mechanics of trading while the focus of the latter steps (particularly from Step 30, on) is on internal issues, i.e. improving ourselves mentally and psychologically, maturing as
traders.

Tuesday, 18 June 2013

NIFTY Levels - for 19th June 2013:

1) NS closed @ 5689 with highest one day move.

1) NIfty Closed at 5813,  -38 pts. 
2) Pattern:- Monthly Chart forming a Triangle,
Weekly giving -ve Divergence on RSI & MACD, 
Daily Nifty has not broken the old Trendline and has taken support
3) Nifty is bouncing. Our Tgt 5930 ~ 5950.  then get ready to SHORT NIFTY for atleast 300 pts :)
4) OI:-   Call OI Highest at 6000 ,
            Put OI  highest at 5700,
            PCR OI from 0.98 to 0.94
5) Daily TF        :-      
    ->  Bollinger  :-        Downtrend
    ->  RSI (9)      :-       Uptrend, but in -ve zone, so sell on rise intraday
    ->  MACD (9,19,6) :- Bullish Crossover about to happen, still negative
    ->  Stoc (15,3)  :-  Bullish

Out Mantra is Sell on Rise..

Tuesday, 16 April 2013


NIFTY Levels - for 17th Apr 2013:


Back after a Long time due to some other assignments and Investment services.. After stremlining all, lets move ahead:-


1) NS closed @ 5689 with highest one day move.
2) Pattern:- Monthly Chart forming a Hammer, Daily Nifty has broken a Trendline on closing basis but closed below 200 DMA
3) Nifty Future SR Levels/ Zones for Intraday :- 
            Resistance @ 5692~5705, 5766~5770, 5961~5966
            Support     @ 5639, 5614~5592, 5500~5492
4) OI:-   Call OI decreased at 5500 level,
            Put OI increased at 5600, 5700 level,
            PCR OI increased crossed 1 from 0.93 to 1.04, so market gaining Strength
5) Daily TF        :-      
    ->  Bollinger  :-        Consolidation
    ->  RSI          :-        Uptrend, so Buy all Dips
    ->  MACD (9,19,6) :- Bullish Crossover
    ->  Stoc (14,3,3)  :-  Bullish
6) 60 min TF      :-      
    ->  Bollinger  :-        Uptrend
    ->  RSI          :-        Uptrend

BUY above 5705 NF closing with SL 5675, TGT 5760.
SELL on pattern at 5705, SL 5710